PACE · effectiveness2.68 of 5Ranked 95 of the 200 areas Canopy rates. Higher is better.
C-RISK · country3.24 of 5Uganda, grade C. Country profile
Evidence confidenceMediumReviewed, but source depth falls short of the high bar.

What Canopy reads here

Murchison Falls National Park is Uganda's largest protected area at 3,893 km2, managed by the Uganda Wildlife Authority along the Victoria Nile. It holds the largest single wild population of Nubian giraffe, estimated at 2,000 individuals in the park by GCF's State of Giraffe 2025, and supports 144 mammal and 556 bird species. Active oil drilling under the TotalEnergies-led Tilenga project, with nine drilling sites and 38 kilometres of new roads confirmed inside the park boundary by Earth Insight satellite analysis as of June 2025, constitutes an unresolved structural threat to the park's ecology and long-term conservation outlook.

PACE, dimension by dimension

Ten dimensions, each scored 1 to 5. Tier 1 dimensions carry more weight than tier 2. The composite is the weighted result, not a simple mean of this column.

DimensionScoreTier
Biodiversity protection3Tier 1
Ecosystem services (carbon and water)2Tier 1
Security and anti-poaching3Tier 2
Governance and accountability2Tier 2
Ecotourism infrastructure3Tier 1
Ecotourism revenues2Tier 2
Community development3Tier 1
Political and community leadership3Tier 2
Budget3Tier 1
Fundraising performance3Tier 1

What the PACE score means

PACE rates how well a protected area is actually run, not how important it is or how much wildlife it holds. A 5 on a dimension means that part of the operation is working. A 1 means it is not. Across the 200 areas Canopy rates, composites run from 1.23 to 4.29, so a 3 is a middling park and not a bad one.

The composite hides variation and that is the point of the table. An area can hold a respectable composite while failing on security or on budget, and those two failures need completely different responses. Anyone using this to make a decision should be reading the dimension, not the headline.

Small gaps are not differences. PACE has been reliability-tested once, on 20 areas, and the composite came back at 0.86 with a 95% interval from 0.61 to 0.97. That is a wide interval on a small sample. Two areas within a few tenths of each other should be treated as the same area until something else separates them.

What it does not tell you

Whether to fund this area. Canopy does not make that call. The score separates questions rather than ranking answers: a low budget dimension and a low security dimension point at different instruments and different diligence.

What is happening on the ground this week. PACE is a periodic assessment, last scored 2026-09-01. It is not a monitoring feed and it does not move when something changes on site.

How thin the evidence behind it is. This area carries a Medium evidence confidence tier, defined above. 182 of the 200 areas sit there, so it is the norm across the set rather than a mark against this area.

Other rated areas in Uganda

Country context

Whether money can reach Murchison Falls National Park is a separate question from how well it is run, and it is answered at the country level. Uganda scores 3.24 of 5 on C-RISK. Read the Uganda profile for the risk dimensions and the estimated cost of running the country’s protected areas.

Provenance

Score date2026-09-01
Scoring versionpace-v1.1
Model run2026-09-01
Schema version1
Evidence confidenceMedium
Boundary and area sourceWDPA-Apr2026
OperatorUganda Wildlife Authority
Operator typestate
IUCN categoryII
Established1952
Canonical URLhttps://canopyconservation.com/park/murchison-falls

How this score is made

The full method is published, not summarised: the PACE methodology, including the rubric each dimension is scored against and the limits Canopy puts on it. What PACE has been tested against, and where it came back null, is at model validation.

Boundaries and area come from the World Database on Protected Areas, WDPA-Apr2026. Operator reporting is read as-of-2026-07-01 (incl. African Parks 2025). Scores are set against Canopy’s published rubric, pace-rubric-v1.1.

Cite this page

Canopy is a nonprofit and everything here is free to use. The one condition is attribution.

Citation

Canopy (2026). Murchison Falls National Park, Uganda: PACE conservation effectiveness 2.68 of 5. Canopy Conservation, pace-v1.1. Retrieved from https://canopyconservation.com/park/murchison-falls

Stable URL

https://canopyconservation.com/park/murchison-falls

Licence

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). Reuse, redistribute and build on this, commercially or not, as long as Canopy is credited and the licence is named.