PACE · effectiveness2.63 of 5Ranked 104 of the 200 areas Canopy rates. Higher is better.
C-RISK · country3.09 of 5Tanzania, grade C. Country profile
Evidence confidenceMediumReviewed, but source depth falls short of the high bar.

What Canopy reads here

Nyerere National Park covers 30,893 km2 of miombo woodland and Rufiji floodplain in southern Tanzania, gazetted in 2019 from the northern Selous Game Reserve and managed directly by TANAPA. The park forms the core of a UNESCO World Heritage Site on the Danger List since 2014. The Julius Nyerere Hydropower Project became fully operational in April 2025, structurally altering the Rufiji River's flood regime with consequences still unfolding.

PACE, dimension by dimension

Ten dimensions, each scored 1 to 5. Tier 1 dimensions carry more weight than tier 2. The composite is the weighted result, not a simple mean of this column.

DimensionScoreTier
Biodiversity protection3Tier 1
Ecosystem services (carbon and water)2Tier 1
Security and anti-poaching3Tier 2
Governance and accountability3Tier 2
Ecotourism infrastructure3Tier 1
Ecotourism revenues2Tier 2
Community development3Tier 1
Political and community leadership3Tier 2
Budget2Tier 1
Fundraising performance2Tier 1

What the PACE score means

PACE rates how well a protected area is actually run, not how important it is or how much wildlife it holds. A 5 on a dimension means that part of the operation is working. A 1 means it is not. Across the 200 areas Canopy rates, composites run from 1.23 to 4.29, so a 3 is a middling park and not a bad one.

The composite hides variation and that is the point of the table. An area can hold a respectable composite while failing on security or on budget, and those two failures need completely different responses. Anyone using this to make a decision should be reading the dimension, not the headline.

Small gaps are not differences. PACE has been reliability-tested once, on 20 areas, and the composite came back at 0.86 with a 95% interval from 0.61 to 0.97. That is a wide interval on a small sample. Two areas within a few tenths of each other should be treated as the same area until something else separates them.

What it does not tell you

Whether to fund this area. Canopy does not make that call. The score separates questions rather than ranking answers: a low budget dimension and a low security dimension point at different instruments and different diligence.

What is happening on the ground this week. PACE is a periodic assessment, last scored 2026-10-01. It is not a monitoring feed and it does not move when something changes on site.

How thin the evidence behind it is. This area carries a Medium evidence confidence tier, defined above. 182 of the 200 areas sit there, so it is the norm across the set rather than a mark against this area.

Other rated areas in Tanzania

Country context

Whether money can reach Nyerere National Park is a separate question from how well it is run, and it is answered at the country level. Tanzania scores 3.09 of 5 on C-RISK. Read the Tanzania profile for the risk dimensions and the estimated cost of running the country’s protected areas.

Provenance

Score date2026-10-01
Scoring versionpace-v1.1
Model run2026-10-01
Schema version1
Evidence confidenceMedium
Boundary and area sourceWDPA-Apr2026
OperatorTanzania National Parks (TANAPA)
Operator typeState
IUCN categoryII
Established2019
Canonical URLhttps://canopyconservation.com/park/nyerere

How this score is made

Each dimension is scored against a written rubric, with the limits Canopy puts on it and what PACE has been tested against, including where it came back null: the method is available to signed-in readers; ask for access.

Boundaries and area come from the World Database on Protected Areas, WDPA-Apr2026. Operator reporting is read as-of-2026-07-01 (incl. African Parks 2025). Scores are set against Canopy’s rubric, pace-rubric-v1.1.

UNEP-WCMC and IUCN (2026), Protected Planet: The World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA) [April 2026], Cambridge, UK: UNEP-WCMC and IUCN. Available at: www.protectedplanet.net.

About these scores

Canopy builds its scores from publicly available information: official registries, government and operator reports, research, satellite records and the press. It publishes them to encourage transparent reporting of protected-area performance and to help raise the bar across all protected areas. Where a park publishes little, the score reflects that, so a low score can mean thin disclosure as well as weak performance.

If you manage or work with this protected area and something here is wrong or out of date, tell us. Every correction is reviewed, and the record is updated where the evidence supports it.

Cite this page

Everything here is free to use. The one condition is attribution.

Citation

Canopy (2026). Nyerere National Park, Tanzania: PACE conservation effectiveness 2.63 of 5. Canopy Conservation, pace-v1.1. Retrieved from https://canopyconservation.com/park/nyerere

Stable URL

https://canopyconservation.com/park/nyerere

Licence

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). Reuse, redistribute and build on this, commercially or not, as long as Canopy is credited and the licence is named.